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Through two days this year’s Masters has not disappointed, with 18 players within three strokes of the lead, as Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Abraham Ancer and Cameron Smith are tied atop the leaderboard.
As was the case at the conclusion of play Thursday, half the field have not completed their second rounds due to darkness, so they’ll complete their rounds at 7:30am EST Saturday morning.
Among those who have holes to play are Tiger Woods, who is five behind the leaders and the duo of Jon Rahm and Hideki Matsuyama, who are both one back.
Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets to make heading into Saturday’s resumption of play.
| Golfer | Position | Score | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Rahm* | T-5th | -8 | +335 |
| Dustin Johnson | T-1st | -9 | +450 |
| Justin Thomas | T-1st | -9 | +600 |
| Patrick Cantlay | T-5th | -8 | +1200 |
| Hideki Matsuyama* | T-5th | -8 | +1600 |
| Louis Oosthuizen* | T-9th | -7 | +1800 |
| Cameron Smith | T-1st | -9 | +2000 |
| Xander Schauffele* | T-14th | -6 | +2000 |
| Abraham Ancer | T-1st | -9 | +2200 |
| Brooks Koepka | T-19th | -5 | +2200 |
| Tiger Woods* | T-22nd | -4 | +2200 |
| Justin Rose | T-9th | -7 | +2500 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | T-9th | -7 | +2500 |
| Sungjae Im | T-5th | -8 | +2800 |
| Paul Casey* | T-14th | -6 | +2000 |
| Patrick Reed* | T-14th | -6 | +3300 |
| Rory McIlroy | T-27th | -3 | +4000 |
| Danny Willett | T-9th | -7 | +5000 |
| Bryson DeChambeau* | T-61st | +1 | +5000 |
| Phil Mickelson | T-19th | -5 | +8000 |
Odds taken November 13th at DraftKings. *Players who must complete Round 2 on Saturday prior to Round 3.
Three of the top five betting favorites to win outright at the start of the week are within one shot, with DJ and JT tied and Jon Rahm a stroke behind.
The fiery Spaniard has the shortest odds to take home his first green jacket in part due to having six more holes to complete in his second round. He’ll have opportunities to grab the lead with two par 5’s to play on the second nine.
68.
65.
69.
69.
70.
71.
68.
69.
5 under through 12.Jon Rahm is closing in on a ninth consecutive under par round at Augusta.#TheMasters pic.twitter.com/uxT66SEYSC
— The European Tour (@EuropeanTour) November 13, 2020
The other two tied at the top in Cameron Smith and Abraham Ancer likely don’t pose a true threat with Smith having just one individual tour win to his credit and Ancer has none. Though they’re clearly capable of bringing home a green jacket, they’re probably a little too unproven and tested to expect them to duke it out against the big guns of golf.
At this point it literally is a take your pick proposition between the top three players for who you’d like to wager on. DJ has the second highest greens in regulation percentage this week and has four career top ten’s at the Masters compared to none for Thomas, so between the two, I’d be inclined to lean Johnson.
The post Updated Masters Odds and Picks After Friday Play appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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Jannik Sinner and Vasek Pospisil will face off for the first time in their careers at the Sofia Open Finals tomorrow. Regardless of the outcome of the match, there will be a first-time champion, making it the sixth time that’s happened this year.
The rising star Sinner, is the favorite after a very strong tournament, playing very impressive tennis, not just for his age, but in general. It’s a bit of a surprise that these players are the final two, but their odds fell within the top 10 coming into the tournament.
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | -2.5 (-138) | -225 | O 22.5 (-120) |
| Vasek Pospisil | +2.5 (+100) | +175 | U 22.5 (-120) |
Odds taken Nov. 13 from Bet365
The 19-year-old from Italy solidified himself as the favorite after he defeated third seed Alex de Minaur in the quarterfinals on Thursday. The only set he’s dropped at the tournament came in the first set in that match. He beat his semifinal opponent, Adrian Mannarino in a straight-set dominating performance, winning 6-3, 7-5. Sinner now becomes the first player born in 2001 to reach an ATP final.
Sinner’s raw and aggressive power from both his forehand, but more notably his backhand, has just been too much for his opponents this tournament. Surprisingly you would think because of his young age, his stamina would be an asset. But it’s actually showing to be a slight issue. Sinner definitely needs to work on his stamina and physicality to keep his consistency from start to finish during his matches.
Pospisil finds himself in the final after going down a set to his opponent, Richard Gasquet off the bat. The Canadian won 11 games in a row to beat his opponent 6-7(7), 6-2, 6-0. Pospisil’s serve has been his biggest weapon from the start of the tournament. He has only been broken once in the last three matches, including not being broken a single time in his semifinal match.
Excellent stat sheet for @VasekPospisil, whose serve wasn’t broken en route to his semi-final win in Sofia.
Talented teenager Jannik Sinner stands between Vasek and his first @atptour final.
📸: ATP Tour pic.twitter.com/w9wXeknnGY
— Tennis Canada (@TennisCanada) November 13, 2020
The indoor hard courts are definitely something that’s favorable to Pospisil’s game. His big serves, and big hits, are perfectly suited for the conditions.
As mentioned above, these two have never seen each other before, so there’s really nothing to go off of, other than how they’ve played this tournament thus far. Both players have played very well. Sinner has had a bit of a tougher route over Pospisil to get to the final, which is something to note.
| 44 | ATP Ranking | 74 |
| 1 | Sets Dropped at 2020 Sofia Open | 2 |
| 20 | Aces Recorded at 2020 Sofia Open | 34 |
| 25-21 | 2020 Record | 12-9 |
I’m inclined to give the edge to Sinner in this match. Despite what was said earlier about the fatigue and physicality, the level of tennis he’s been playing has been untouchable. In order for him to win the match, there are a couple of things he’ll have to do. If Sinner manages to consistently return Pospisil’s serve, he’s on track to win. Stripping Pospisil of his biggest strength will be key.
Pospisil will look to catch Sinner off guard with his service games. If Sinner doesn’t adapt to a quick transition between defense in terms of receiving a serve, and get onto his offensive game, it might be a closer match than expected.
Best Bet: Sinner in three sets (+300)
The post Jannik Sinner vs Vasek Pospisil Odds & Preview: ATP Sofia Finals appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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Heading into this year’s Masters, five-time champion Tiger Woods wasn’t playing much golf and, when he was, it wasn’t pretty. Despite being the defending champion, oddsmakers weren’t expecting El Tigre to play so well at the 2020 Masters but after day one he is squarely in the picture, just three back of leader Paul Casey.
His bogey-free four-under par round of 68 matched the lowest first-round score he’s ever shot at Augusta National. His previous 68 came ten years ago en route to a tie for fourth. Woods played in the morning wave of players who were delayed because of heavy rains, and the round was subsequently called due to darkness with the afternoon wave of players yet to complete all 18 holes.
Woods saw his odds to win the tournament improve to +1800. Should you pounce on Tiger to capture his record-tying sixth green jacket at his current price or is it wise to hold off on him until he tees it up in the afternoon Friday? Read on to see the updated odds and the best bet to make.
| Golfer | Position | Score | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Thomas* | T-2nd | -5 | +500 |
| Dustin Johnson* | T-13th | -3 | +700 |
| Xander Schauffele | T-2nd | -5 | +1000 |
| Jon Rahm | T-13th | -3 | +1400 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | T-21st | -2 | +1400 |
| Tiger Woods | T-5th | -4 | +1800 |
*Player hasn’t finished first round. Odds as of November 12th at DraftKings
Not many saw Tiger Woods’ strong start to the first round of the Masters coming. He looked in complete control of his game through, hitting 10 of 14 fairways, 15 of 18 greens for an incredibly stress free round. He also didn’t card a bogey on the first day of a major championship for the first time since way back in the 2009 PGA Championship.
It was also his first bogey-free round at any point in a major in his last 106 times teeing it up.
Tiger Woods finished the day 4-under par. It’s his 3rd-best opening round as a defending champion in his major career. The only opening rounds that were better: 2000 PGA Championship (-6) and 2006 The Open (-5). Woods went on to win both of those tournaments pic.twitter.com/4MBIWLWKEh
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) November 12, 2020
He also matched the lowest first round he’s ever shot at the Masters from a decade ago, and finds himself right in the hunt heading into Friday.
His odds to win outright have been slashed in half from +3600 pre-event to +1800 now, and those are still pretty good if you want to lay some cash on the 15-time major champion.
Using the slopes. Tiger Woods birdies No. 16 to reach -3 at #themasters pic.twitter.com/TZlWyHTWg8
— The Masters (@TheMasters) November 12, 2020
The only pause in going all-in with Tiger is the fact that in his previous seven tournaments on the PGA Tour, he could only muster up a T-37 finish as his best performance. However, there’s still something magical about what brings out the best in Tiger so expecting him to come tumbling down the leaderboard is highly unlikely.
Two of the top-three players in the world in Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson still have to complete eight and nine holes respectively in the first round. They’ll then be teeing it up for the morning afternoon wave in softer conditions on Friday, so you’d have to expect the scores to continue to go lower and lower by them and other big names on the board.
-4 through five holes. Quite the start for Justin Thomas. #themasters pic.twitter.com/gNYQx3OiKt
— The Masters (@TheMasters) November 12, 2020
Here is where you likely can be patient and wait for Tiger to tee off in the afternoon and likely pick up more value on him. The odds likely will fluctuate higher for Woods, depending on how JT, DJ and other top players do. They won’t be playing in difficult conditions so it’s conceivable they’ll be well clear of Woods by the time he tees off.
Betting on Woods to capture his record-tying sixth green jacket is definitely a worthwhile proposition, but the key will be in waiting to grab him at better odds.
The post Tiger Woods’ Masters Odds Now +1800 After Shooting 1st Round 4-Under 68 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
As the Masters tournament was completing a rain-delayed Round 1 on Thursday, the sun of hopefulness was shining on Paul Casey. The veteran golfer from England owns a two-shot lead after carding an opening-round of seven-under par 65.
Casey has never won any of golf’s four majors. Tiger Woods, on the other hand, owns 15 major titles, second only to Jack Nicklaus.
Woods, the defending Masters champion, is poised to pounce again after opening with a four-under 68 on Thursday.
| Golfer | Odds | First-Round Score |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Thomas | +500 | -5* |
| Dustin Johnson | +700 | -3* |
| Xander Schauffele | +1000 | -5 |
| Joh Rahm | +1400 | -3 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +1400 | -2 |
| Matthew Wolf | +1800 | -4* |
| Paul Casey | +1800 | -7 |
| Tiger Woods | +1800 | -4 |
| Rory McIlroy | +2200 | Even* |
| Adam Scott | +2200 | -4* |
| Webb Simpson | +2200 | -5 |
Odds as of Nov. 12th at DraftKings. *Players who must complete Round 1 on Friday prior to Round 2.
Justin Thomas, the betting favorite at +500 in the Masters odds, is at -5 through 10 holes. He’s among several players who weren’t able to complete their opening round due to the rain delay.
Casey is the close but no cigar of golf’s majors. Earlier this year, he was second to Collin Morikawa at the PGA Championship.
That was Casey’s best finish in a major. It was his 10th runner-up in a PGA Tour event and also his 10th top ten finish at a major.
Making a statement in Round 1. 😯@Paul_Casey’s bogey-free 65 has him atop the leaderboard and two clear of the field. pic.twitter.com/AVGTISjYCJ
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) November 12, 2020
Casey has been all around the leaderboard in recent years at Augusta. He finished sixth in 2017, tied for fourth in 2016 and tied for sixth in 2015. He’s ended up in the top ten of the Masters on five occasions.
However, just one first-round leader over the past five years has won the Masters. That was Jordan Spieth in 2015. He led wire to wire that year.
Through one round at the Masters, Woods is actually better positioned than he was a year ago when he won the tournament. He opened four shots off the pace being set by Bryson DeChambeau and Brooks Kopeka in 2019.
Thursday marked the first bogey-free opening round that Woods has ever played at Augusta and also his first 18 holes free of bogeys over his last 106 rounds played at majors.
THAT’S DEFENDING CHAMPION TIGER WOODS TO YOU pic.twitter.com/1geLevecgu
— Fore Play (@ForePlayPod) November 12, 2020
He carded a steady, uneventful four-under 68. Last year, Woods opened with a 70.
It’s an optimistic beginning for Woods, 44, who’s been looking his age of late. He hasn’t won, or really contended for a title in about a year. Woods missed the cut at the US Open.
Thomas sits just two back of Casey and he still has eight holes to finish from his rain-delayed opening round before he’ll get his second round underway on Friday. Xander Schauffele (+1000) is also at -5 after completing his first round of play.
DraftKings is offering +150 on Thomas winding up as Round 1 leader. Casey is the +120 chalk in this prop.
Over the past five years at Augusta, the eventual winner has fared no worse than six shots off the pace through the first 18 holes. All of the top contenders on the odds board find themselves within that window of opportunity.
Everyone was looking for Bryson DeChambeau’s ball on 13 😅 #TheMasters pic.twitter.com/OAL6JYFqJO
— TSN (@TSN_Sports) November 12, 2020
The worst of the bunch was Bryson DeChambeau (+1400). Still, he scrambled his way to a two-under par 70 after a disastrous double bogey on #13.
Dustin Johnson (-3) still has nine holes to finish Friday and Matthew Wolf (-4) is seven holes from being done Round 1. Jon Rahm (-3) completed his round.
Rory McIlroy’s rough going at majors is continuing. Through nine holes before darkness halted his round, McIlroy was at even par. He’s currently parked right in the neighborhood of the cut line of top 50 and ties.
Rory McIlroy has never trailed by more than 2 shots after any round in his 4 major wins.
— Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) November 12, 2020
Brooks Koepka was +1 through nine holes. Spieth and Bubba Watson, both past Masters champions, are at +2.
Despite strong starts, Adam Scott and Webb Simpson aren’t getting much love from the bookmakers. Both sit at odds of +2200 to win the tournament.
Webb Simpson’s 67 is his lowest opening-round score in a major championship since the 2011 Open Championship (66).
Simpson has finished in the top 20 in each of his last six starts on the PGA TOUR. #themasters
— PGA TOUR Communications (@PGATOURComms) November 12, 2020
Simpson opened with a solid five-under 67. Scott is at -4 with eight holes still to play.
The post Updated Odds to Win 2020 Masters After Thursday Play appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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All stats from Fantasynational.com!!! Sign up for the BEST STATS DATABASE for DFS Golf at fantasynational.com/dfskarma
Course: Augusta National Golf Club
Course and Weather Notes: The Masters is here, and I couldn’t really be more excited… I did an in-depth full course/tournament preview along with analysis and possible winners in my article that is already posted at DFSKarma.com so check that out here!
WEATHER NOTE: It does seem like the course is getting pounded with rain the last few days and it’s expected to continue all 4 days of the tournament (which blows), so I think we can start to give even a little more weight to the bombers of the field and use it as a tiebreaker for sure between players along with really giving a bump down to the much shorter hitters
Key Stats – Last 8, 12, 24, and 50 Rounds (courtesy of FantasyNational.com)
In order of importance:
Both DFSKarma and myself have been getting more and more exposure and interest to SuperDraft and I wanted to begin to give some thoughts and ranks for those contests as they do things a little bit differently and although I’m still new and learning I think there is a definite edge to be had with less sharks, no salary cap to worry about, and a different roster construction compared to FanDuel and DraftKings. Below I will post how scoring is done and my favorite 15 guys to build in a 6-person lineup. There are no salaries so if you wanted to take the top 6 ranked players in the world, you can do that if you please (doesn’t seem like a +EV strategy). As you’ll note, the lower quality player, the higher the multiplier they get for fantasy points and the top dogs, such as DJ/Fleetwood/Brooks, etc won’t get nearly the same bonuses but can be expected to outperform the lower tier guys.
This year at Augusta presents an interesting test, as always, as 93 players tee it up for the annual tradition, granted 7 months late, in what should be a slightly different course layout and even more unpredictability than usual. As I have stated in my preview article, we can easily trim down this field to a more manageable 60-65 as Augusta gives a lifetime exemption to all former winners and almost all of them aren’t in any sort of contention to compete at the top of the leaderboard, let alone make the cut (i.e. lots of older guys who are in their 60s and some amateurs from lower TOURs around the world). The cut is top 50 and ties so we already have an expected 55-60% making the weekend and when we remove the “non-factors” if you will, we can expect more lineups to have the 6/6 through the cut and we thus need to target birdie makers who have finishing points upside. Further, it is imperative to have Augusta experience, at least in year’s past, to finish well here so I will definitely favor more and more the guys with several rounds, at least, under their belt, guys who have driving distance, and who can handle fast greens.
I think this week will be even more interesting as people try to load up on the favorites, and while a lineup of DJ/Rahm/Justin Thomas/Xander Schauffele sounds mighty appealing, as we know from the last 50 years of golf, it rarely works out that the top 3, or 4 of the 6 or 7 favorites end up all at the top of the leaderboard together. I’m targeting guys mostly that have a great multiplier but also have Augusta experience, so I don’t risk 6/6 upside but also have an edge if the lower owned player makes the weekend and goes low a round or two. I think my 2 favorite high multipliers this week are Lee Westwood and Cam Smith and while I expect Smith to have decent ownership, his multiplier is one of the best for a guy I think can definitely finish in the Top 10. In the case of Westwood, his overall “win equity” isn’t very much but he has the best course history of anyone in the field with 8 straight made cuts that includes 3 Top 10s and 2 Top 20s in that span. Further, he’s playing some great golf right now over on the Euro Tour with 5 Top 20 finishes in his last 7 starts. As for the studs, I like Rahm/DJ/Justin Thomas/Hideki, but I will most likely only use 2 or so of them in each lineup to make sure I can stay unique. Some low owned guys that definitely carry risk that I like would include 1) Munoz, who is playing great this season but is a “debutant” so could struggle without knowing the course, 2) Bernd Wiesberger who has made all 4 cuts at Augusta and is in good form on the Euro Tour, and 3) Sungjae Im, who is also playing his first Masters but is a tremendous young talent, having one on TOUR this season at the Honda Classic.
Below is my table of 15 guys I’m interested in and sign up for core plays to see my SD core for the week!
Several months ago, we partnered with a very innovative fantasy company called StatHero and what makes them so enticing is similar to betting, you’re not competing against 100k people in a GPP contest with less than a 0.001% chance of winning but rather playing against them. The rules are simple, you beat the “StatHero” team, you move on, and if you don’t, you lose. The goal is to get to the end and either decide with other users if you want to split the pot or you can keep playing to try to get the mega prize. One of the bigger advantages is that you can actually see StatHero’s lineup before you construct your own so you know what you’re up against and how contrarian/different you want to get. Below I will post the scoring format and will give my thoughts for how I would construct this week as well as show what StatHero is using for Round 1.
Note that for PGA it is round by round, not the full tournament, and you have an “MVP” spot in which you get 2x points. You get to pick 5 players, but you have to be careful because once you use players in a round, if you advance, you can’t use the same players again.
It’s super fun and we had a TON of success last year in NFL so go download it on the Apple Store and Android users should be able to download from the Google Play store very, very soon.
CPT – Tyrrell Hatton
Player 1) Sungjae Im
Player 2) Matthew Wolff
Player 3) Tiger Woods
Player 4) Paul Casey
In my humble opinion, I don’t think this lineup will make a lot of noise as a few of these guys are ones I don’t have a ton of interest in, as Hatton has been hot but if the putter cools off I’m not sure where he’ll be… Wolff has lost some form lately and is someone I’m betting to miss the cut. Tiger, well we all know I love Tiger, but traditionally his first rounds aren’t great and he’s in the morning with a stiff back… and lastly Casey… who knows what we’ll get from him as his course history is strong but he hasn’t exactly been lighting it up. In the interest of trying to save players, I don’t think you have to “full stack” your R1 lineup in anyway, not to say you can’t use some of the top guys per Vegas odds, but I think it’s better to save them. There are a few guys that I really like, and have traditionally, started out hot and even if they fizzle the rest of the tournament, we only need them for 1 round!
Favorite CPT Options (no particular order)
Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Adam Scott, Bubba Watson, Bryson DeChambeau
Favorite Fill-In Options (no particular order)
Justin Rose, Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth (if you’re feeling FRISKY, he normally starts off hot), Scottie Scheffler, Adam Scott, Abraham Ancer, 1 or 2 of Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Si Woo Kim (risky with big upside), Corey Conners (risky with big upside)
| Scoring | Points | |||
| Double Eagle | 13 | |||
| Eagle | 8 | |||
| Birdie | 3 | |||
| Par | 1 | |||
| Bogey | -0.5 | |||
| Double Bogey | -1 | |||
| Triple Bogey | -1.5 | |||
| Quad Bogey | -2 | |||
| Hole In One | 10 | |||
| Finish | Points | Finish | Points | |
| 1st | 30 | 16th | 5 | |
| 2nd | 20 | 17th | 5 | |
| 3rd | 18 | 18th | 5 | |
| 4th | 16 | 19th | 5 | |
| 5th | 14 | 20th | 5 | |
| 6th | 12 | 21st | 4 | |
| 7th | 10 | 22nd | 4 | |
| 8th | 9 | 23rd | 4 | |
| 9th | 8 | 24th | 4 | |
| 10th | 7 | 25th | 4 | |
| 11th | 6 | 26th | 3 | |
| 12th | 6 | 27th | 3 | |
| 13th | 6 | 28th | 3 | |
| 14th | 6 | 29th | 3 | |
| 15th | 6 | 30th | 3 |
The post Sam’s SuperDraft Studs and StatHero Thoughts – 2020 MASTERS appeared first on DFS Karma.
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