Thứ Bảy, 25 tháng 4, 2020

Opening 2021 NFL Draft Odds – Lawrence Heavily Favored to Be First Pick, Which Players Selected First at Each Position

  • Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence is a -305 favorite to be the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, which is a jump from the +100 he was at during this time in 2019
  • Although Ja’Marr Chase is favored to be the first wideout off the board, his numbers might sag a bit without Joe Burrow throwing him passes
  • Read below for our best betting recommendations for 2021

With the 2020 NFL Draft out of the way, we can now shift our mock drafts towards the 2021 NFL Draft. As of now, the oddsmakers have Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence as the heavy favorite to be the top pick in the draft. We also have odds on who’ll be first at each position. Let’s take a look at the options and see where there’s value.

Odds To Be First Player Drafted In 2021 NFL Draft

First Player Drafted Odds
Trevor Lawrence -305
Justin Fields +300
Penei Sewell +400
D’Eriq King +1600
Micah Parsons +2500
Jamie Newman +3300
Alex Leatherwood +3300
Gregory Rousseau +3300
Ja’Marr Chase +5000
Travis Etienne +5000
DeVonta Smith +5000
Patrick Surtain II +5000
Jaylen Waddle +5000
Shaun Wade +5000
Chuba Hubbard +6600
Sam Cosmi +6600
Najee Harris +8000
Kellen Mond +8000
Rashod Bateman +10000
K.J. Costello +10000
Walker Little +10000
Rondale Moore +10000
Brock Purdy +10000
Justyn Ross +10000
Amon-Ra St. Brown +10000
Kyle Trask +10000
Tylan Wallace +10000
Jaylen Mayfield +10000
Sam Ehlinger +10000
Kylin Hill +20000

Lawrence Heavily Favored To Be First Overall

If the theme of the 2019 NFL season was “Tank for Tua” when Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was favored to be the top pick, we’re going to have a similar “Lose for Lawrence” storyline for the 2020 season. The Clemson quarterback had a breakout year in 2018, leading the Tigers to the National Championship, and he’s been viewed as a sure-fire No. 1 overall pick whenever he comes out.

With Lawrence finally eligible in 2021, he’s at -305 on the board. That’s a jump from +100 where he was at previously. He’ll have some competition from Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (+300) and Oregon tackle Penei Sewell (+400) but I don’t view these guys as holding much of a candle to Lawrence.

Fields is a dynamic weapon but Lawrence is going to be viewed as the best pure passer. And with Sewell, he’d have to have one of the best seasons ever for a tackle and have the quarterbacks stumble to have any shot at being first overall. I wouldn’t bet this because of the juice but Lawrence should be the guy.

2021 NFL Draft Odds

First Quarterback Drafted Odds
Trevor Lawrence -400
Justin Fields +350
D’Eriq King +1000
Jamie Newman +1200
Sam Ehlinger +1800
Kellen Mond +2000
Brock Purdy +2000
K.J. Costello +3300
Kyle Trask +3300
First Running Back Drafted Odds
Travis Etienne -125
Najee Harris +150
Chuba Hubbard +300
Kylin Hill +450
First Wide Receiver Drafted Odds
Ja’Marr Chase +100
DeVonta Smith +400
Jaylen Waddle +400
Rashod Bateman +700
Tylan Wallace +700
Rondale Moore +800
Justyn Ross +1200
Amon-Ra St. Brown +2000
First Offensive Lineman Drafted Odds
Penei Sewell -400
Alex Leatherwood +400
Walker Little +700
Sam Cosmi +1200
Jaylen Mayfield +1400

Odds as of Apr. 25th.

Value With Ross at Top Wide Receiver?

There are a lot of good wide receivers coming out in 2021 but a number of them have concerns. Ja’Marr Chase of LSU is viewed as the top wideout and Alabama’s DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle are also expected to be first-round picks. The issue is that Joe Burrow is no longer at LSU and Tua Tagovailoa is no longer at Alabama.

With those players being forced to play with new quarterbacks, their performance could suffer. I think Justyn Ross is a really talented, big target who runs great routes. His production has been solid (66 catches for 865 yards and eight touchdowns last season) and should continue to be in Lawrence’s final year too.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Ross makes his way up the board while some of the other current leaders falter. He’s worth a flier at +1200.

Hubbard a Good Choice For First Running Back

The Oklahoma State Cowboys offense figures to be quite explosive in 2020. That’s why I also wouldn’t sleep on Tylan Wallace being the top wideout in the draft but while he has a little bit of ways to go in his ascent up the chart, Hubbard is already one of the best backs in the country.

Last season, Hubbard compiled 2,094 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns. He added another 23 catches for 198 yards and two touchdowns. He’s a big play waiting to happen and he gets the job done both as a runner and a receiver.

Hubbard is going to be neck-in-neck with track star Travis Etienne, who has lightning speed and is the favorite here. However, I see Hubbard as having slightly better size and being the best pure runner. These guys should be neck-in-neck but since we’re getting value with Hubbard, I’ll take a shot with him.

The post Opening 2021 NFL Draft Odds – Lawrence Heavily Favored to Be First Pick, Which Players Selected First at Each Position appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.



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