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NBA Plays
no plays for me today
The post NBA Plays appeared first on NFL Picks | NHL Picks | Hockey Predictions | Winning Sports Picks | MLB Predictions | NBA picks | MLB picks | Soccer Picks.
For those wondering how much worse 2020 can get, consider rooting for either New York professional football team.
Few had big aspirations for the Giants or Jets heading into this season, but three games into their respective campaigns, the question has become how low can these teams go? Both started with season total win projections set at 6.5 games, but that’s since slid for both after 0-3 starts. The Giants’ updated win total is now 4.5 and the Jets’ has dipped to 3.5.
Perhaps the more relevant question for bettors in the meantime is which team will pick up a win first?
Team | Odds |
---|---|
New York Jets | -300 |
New York Giants | +200 |
Odds as of Sep. 30th.
The unpredictability of this season has affected a number of teams that had high hopes heading into it, but the latest NFL win totals shows both New York sides now have the lowest predicted win totals in the league.
Jets head coach Adam Gase wasn’t exactly the most popular pick to lead the team when he was hired ahead of last season. Now, after popular defensive back Jamal Adams was dealt to Seattle, and discussion about a rift between he and running back Le’Veon Bell, there are questions about how receptive the locker room is to him. After finishing last season 7-9, the voices wondering how much time Gase has left with the team are growing louder.
Should the Jets move to fire Gase, the practical interim replacement would be defensive coordinator Gregg Williams. Williams was 17-31 as head coach of the Buffalo Bills from 2001-2003, but won five of his eight games as interim head coach for the Cleveland Browns in 2018 after the team fired Hue Jackson. The Jets’ defense hasn’t been as terrible as its offense, but given the relative lack of playmakers on either side of the ball, it’s difficult to say that a coaching switch would yield a significant change in fortune.
Joe Judge says the Giants will channel the blue-collar mentality of New York to bounce back:
“I can assure you, I take a great deal of pride and I put a lot personally into this to make sure that the product they see on the field they can be proud of” pic.twitter.com/qKnO6G8x0Y
— Giants Videos (@SNYGiants) September 27, 2020
The Giants have suffered from key vacancies in their lineup more than anything else. Offensive tackle Nate Solder opted-out of this season due to COVID-19 concerns. The Giants are tied for sixth-most sacks allowed this season with nine, and have had the poorest rush efficiency of any team in the league. Second-year quarterback Daniel Jones has done his best under the circumstances, but he is coming off of his worst game of the season against San Francisco — where the Giants also lost star running back Saquon Barkley for the season with a torn ACL.
Wide receiver Golden Tate has been hampered with a hamstring injury since the start of the season and the team placed fellow pass-catcher Sterling Shepard on injured reserve this week.
If the Jets find a way to lose against a broken Denver Broncos team at home, the Giants have the better opportunity, thanks to the overall weakness of the NFC East.
Despite coming into the game against the Jets favored by a point, the Broncos are now on their third starting quarterback this season in Brett Rypien. The undrafted second-year QB finished the game against Tampa Bay last week and completed eight consecutive passes before throwing an interception on Denver’s final drive of the game. Broncos head coach Vic Fangio suggested this week that he may look to play both Rypien and last week’s starter, Jeff Driskel, in the game.
The key matchup for the Jets will be their rush defense against what will almost certainly be the Broncos’ commitment to run the ball with Melvin Gordon III. Denver running back Phillip Lindsay has been hobbled with a foot injury, and he’s not likely to have a major impact on a short week of preparation. The Jets are not defending the run as well as they did last season, but Denver isn’t likely to get very exotic on offense in this one. First-round pick Jerry Jeudy is also playing through a rib injury that has kept him limited in practice all week, so whatever upside Denver has in the passing game looks to be fairly limited.
Meanwhile, the Giants are considerable underdogs on the road when they take on a Los Angeles Rams team looking to get back in the win column following a sour loss to Buffalo last weekend. Jones hasn’t been playing with a full deck on offense the past few weeks, but against Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and the rest of the Rams’ defense, this isn’t the matchup that he’s likely to get things heading back in the right direction.
Sam Darnold on his performance this season:
“I’m not playing consistently enough to play well in this league” pic.twitter.com/xbSH7JTgKN
— Jets Videos (@snyjets) September 27, 2020
Prior to last week, Jets quarterback Sam Darnold had been doing a good job of mixing up his throws and keeping his turnovers down, but that fell apart against the Colts when he threw three interceptions in a 36-7 loss. This week, he moves on to a Broncos defense that has been decimated with injuries in the secondary and has had a toothless pass rush that’s sorely missing defensive end Von Miller. Denver has been particularly poor in the longer downs-and-distances that Darnold has found success with this season, and should wide receiver Jamison Crowder be able to go after missing last week with a hamstring injury, the Jets are that much more of an attractive pick to win.
NYJ Week 4 Spread | NYG Week 4 Spread |
---|---|
vs DEN: +1 | @ LAR: +13 |
NYJ Projected Spreads | NYG Projected Spreads |
Week 5 vs ARI: +6.5 | Week 5 @ DAL: +7.5 |
Week 6 @ LAC: +4.5 | Week 6 vs WAS: +1 |
Week 7 vs BUF: +7.5 | Week 7 @ PHI: +3.5 |
Week 8 @ KC: +14.5 | Week 8 vs TB: +7 |
Week 9 vs NE: +6.5 | Week 9 @ WAS: +3 |
The Jets seem like a team in disarray and are even more beat up than the Giants. However, the Broncos are worse off than both and the G-Men are among the least likely teams to win this week. The Jets know that this is their best shot to get a win for the foreseeable future, but are going to have to play mistake-free football. The best strategy here is to monitor the status of Crowder, and if he suits up on Thursday night, take the Jets. If possible, parlay this bet with the moneyline against the Broncos to maximize the value and hope that Darnold looks more like the player from Weeks 1 and 2 than the one in last week’s loss.
The post Odds on Which New York NFL Team Wins a Game First – Jets Favored, But Are Giants the Better Bet? appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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MLB live PLAY
Risking 2 Unit
San Diego Padres Game Under 13 -125
The post MLB live PLAY appeared first on NFL Picks | NHL Picks | Hockey Predictions | Winning Sports Picks | MLB Predictions | NBA picks | MLB picks | Soccer Picks.
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All of a sudden, the Oakland Athletics are playing for their lives in Game 2 of their Wild-Card series against the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday, Sep. 30th at 3:10 pm ET. That’s how fast things go in a best-of-three series.
Chicago, back in the playoffs for the first time in a dozen years, are now one win away from their first series win since 2005 — when they went all the way to a World Series title.
Here’s how the Athletics vs. White Sox odds look ahead of Wednesday’s Game 2.
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total |
---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics | -126 | -1.5 (+164) | Over 7.5 (-105) |
Chicago White Sox | +110 | +1.5 (-196) | Under 7.5 (-115) |
Odds as of Sept. 29 at FanDuel.
Lucas Giolito and the White Sox sought history and settled for a giant Game 1 win on Tuesday, topping the A’s, 4-1.
Giolito took a perfect game into the seventh — vying to become just the second pitcher to complete that feat in MLB postseason history — and earned the win while allowing just two hits and one run versus eight strikeouts.
They call him José! pic.twitter.com/ghPgn6I4bE
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) September 29, 2020
On the other side, the White Sox got to Oakland starter Jesus Luzardo early, tagging his for three runs in 3.1 innings. The Athletics will need to wake up the bats in Game 2, as their lone run on three hits in the final three innings of Game 1 wasn’t nearly enough.
The bright side for Oakland is that four relievers followed Luzardo with shutdown stuff, allowing just three hits and a run in 5.2 innings.
Unlike in Tuesday’s opener, when Giolito gave the White Sox a clear edge in the pitching matchup, Wednesday’s duel features a pair of comparably strong hurlers.
Chicago’s Dallas Keuchel (6-2, 1.99 ERA) is having a renaissance season on the south side, while Oakland’s Chris Bassitt (5-2, 2.29 ERA) is posting career-best numbers in several categories.
Dallas Keuchel is a bad, bad man. pic.twitter.com/Wao9CelTsB
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) August 22, 2020
Keuchel’s 2020 numbers are a bit better, but Bassitt has been stronger against his impending opponent. Bassitt shut out the White Sox in 13 innings across two starts last season, allowing only eight hits while striking out 13.
Chris Bassitt, back to back Beautiful slow Curveballs. 🌈
And a Sword. ⚔️
[Impressive subtle effort by Maldonado to get an HBP off the elbow guard on the second one. ] pic.twitter.com/hqvsdD6Jhn
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 17, 2019
Keuchel hasn’t faced Oakland since he pitched for divisional foe Houston back in 2018. During that year, he went 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA in four starts. Of course, the A’s lineup isn’t the exact same as it was then — but this is all we have to go off of.
Both teams are fully aware of what’s at stake here, and of the fact that Bassitt gives the A’s their best chance to win. After being slight underdogs on the moneyline in Game 1 — despite being at home, as the higher seed — Oakland is now the rightful favorite for game two.
Your Pitchers of the Month:
AL: Chris Bassitt, 0.34 ERA, 26.2 IP, 25 Ks, .232 BAA
NL: Trevor Bauer, 1.29 ERA, 35 IP, 46 Ks, .175 BAA pic.twitter.com/FyDTN2uD4I
— MLB (@MLB) September 28, 2020
Oakland averaged 7.2 hits per game at home in October, a much more typical number than the three hits they accrued on Tuesday. Look for the A’s to bounce back and give viewers a decisive third game to enjoy.
Pick: Oakland Athletics (-126)
The post White Sox (Keuchel) vs Athletics (Bassitt) Game 2 Picks and Odds – Sep. 30th appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
TJ Watt is the new favorite to win the 2020 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker saw his odds improve to +450 going into Week 4, compared to +1200 this time a week ago. He has supplanted Los Angeles Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald as the top choice for DOPY. Donald’s odds faded to +550.
Here is a look at the NFL DPOY odds.
Player | Odds |
---|---|
T.J. Watt (Steelers) | +450 |
Aaron Donald (Rams) | +550 |
Myles Garrett (Browns) | +750 |
Joey Bosa (Chargers) | +1600 |
Khalil Mack (Bears) | +1600 |
Odds taken Sept. 29
Watt became the top choice following another strong performance in Week 3. In the Steelers’ 28-21 victory over the Houston Texans, Watt had a sack, two tackles for loss, and four quarterback hits. He also had four solo tackles.
Watt’s sack came at a key moment of the game.
After James Conner’s 12-yard touchdown run with 6:24 left put the Steelers ahead, Watt sacked Deshaun Watson on the first play of the Texans’ ensuing possession. The 11-yard loss led to Houston going three and out.
T.J. Watt chipped right into a sack. lol #Steelers pic.twitter.com/z34zXhdRu8
— BlitzburghUSAVideos (@sdextrasmedia) September 29, 2020
Once the Steelers got the ball, they never gave it back while running out the final 4:47.
TJ was also the star of the “Watt Bowl”, which featured the three brothers playing in the same game for the first time. Derek Watt is the Steelers’ fullback while JJ Watt is the Texans’ standout defensive end and three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year.
The performance against the Texans was just a continuation of a great start to the season for Watt, who has been extremely efficient with his effort.
An interception highlighted Watt’s opening-week performance in a 26-16 victory over the New York Giants. He had one tackle for loss, two quarterback hits and two passes defensed.
Watt was even better in Week 2 when the Steelers downed the Denver Broncos 26-21. His stat line included 2.5 sacks, two tackles for loss, and four QB hits
Through three games, Watt has a total of 3.5 sacks, five tackles for loss, 10 quarterbacks hits, and one interception.
Donald dropped out of the top spot despite having his best game of the season in Week 3 when the Rams lost 35-32 to the Bills in Buffalo
Donald had two sacks and six tackles while also forcing a fumble and recovering it. He also finished with three quarterback hits.
Aaron Donald threw Josh Allen down, forced a fumble and recovered it.
MONSTER 😤
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/ntWbCLTY9Y
— ESPN (@espn) September 27, 2020
That came after a disappointing showing in Week 2 when he was limited to one tackle and one QB hit in a 37-19 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Overall, Donald has three sacks, eight quarterback hits, and the forced fumble.
9 | Tackles | 11 |
3.5 | Sacks | 3 |
5 | Tackles for loss | 3 |
10 | Quarterback hits | 8 |
Meanwhile, Cleveland Browns DE Myles Garrett has three sacks, one tackle for loss, five QB hits, and two forced fumbles in his bid to win DROY.
Los Angeles Chargers defensive end Joey Bosa is off to a fine start to 2020 with three sacks, five tackles for loss, and six quarterback hits.
Pat Mahomes met by Joey Bosa ‼️
(via @NFL) pic.twitter.com/dxdIWCtcWM
— ESPN (@espn) September 20, 2020
Though the Chicago Bears are 3-0, linebacker Khalil Mack has had an ordinary season so far. He has 1.5 sacks, one tackle for loss, three QB hits, and one fumble recovery.
The oddsmakers have it right in moving Watt to the top of the board. He has been the best defensive player in the first three weeks of the season and is still worth betting even at the shorter odds.
T.J. Watt is currently the highest-graded defensive player of 2020
PFF Grade: 93.7 🔥 pic.twitter.com/nzgdREJQQc
— PFF PIT Steelers (@PFF_Steelers) September 22, 2020
A decent longshot pick is Mack. He could easily increase his production, particularly in the sacks department, which always registers with the award voters.
Another intriguing longshot play is Indianapolis Colts defensive tackle DeForest Buckner at +4000. So far, he has been worth the price of the Colts trading a first-round draft pick to the San Francisco 49ers.
Strong against the run with 15 tackles through three games, Buckner also has 1.5 sacks, two tackles for loss, five quarterback hits, and a safety.
The post TJ Watt Overtakes Aaron Donald as the Favorite to Win 2020 NFL DPOY appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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Fade the public Play
Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Under 56.5 -127 Buy 1½ Points
The post Fade the public Play appeared first on NFL Picks | NHL Picks | Hockey Predictions | Winning Sports Picks | MLB Predictions | NBA picks | MLB picks | Soccer Picks.
After 60 games against the same nine teams, the Indians and Yankees will face off for the first time in 2020 in Game 1 of their AL Wild-Card Series.
Thanks to a 35-win regular season, Cleveland holds home-field advantage. This season, that means all games in the series will take place at Progressive Field.
Game 1 is set to start at 7:00 pm ET on a cool and breezy Tuesday night.
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees | -110 | -1.5 (+175) | Over 6.0 (-115) |
Cleveland Indians | -106 | +1.5 (-215) | Under 6.0 (-106) |
Odds as of Sep. 28th at DraftKings.
It’s a bit of a surprise to see how close the books have Game 1. After all, the Yankees are, on average, way ahead of the Indians when it comes to the 2020 World Series odds. Initially, the total seems a little low as well. Three of the Yanks’ last four and four of Cleveland’s last five games have exceeded six runs.
Of course, you have got to take the matchup on the mound into consideration.
New York gave Gerrit Cole $324 million this off-season for exactly this spot. He wasn’t signed to get to the playoffs; he was brought in to dominate in October.
But he’ll have to go shot-for-shot with 2020’s most dominant starter.
12 | Starts | 12 |
7-3 | Record | 8-1 |
2.84 | ERA | 1.63 |
6.1 | Innings Per Start | 6.4 |
94 | Strikeouts | 122 |
17 | Walks | 22 |
0.959 | WHIP | 0.866 |
3.89 | FIP | 2.07 |
Sixty-game season or not, Bieber’s numbers are ridiculous.
The 25-year-old set career bests in strikeouts, hits, and home runs per nine innings. He did struggle a bit with walks, setting a career high with a 2.4 BB/9.
Bieber vs. Cole in Game 1, and @NYNJHarper weighs in on the Yankees’ playoff potential with @MarcMalusis. pic.twitter.com/zkxx5DBsPO
— WFAN Sports Radio (@WFAN660) September 28, 2020
That success will be put to the test against the Yanks. Bieber has started two games in his career against New York and carries an 8.31 ERA. He’s given up one homer, but walked four and allowed 10 hits in just 8.2 innings.
Cole has a 1-1 record against the Indians over the last two seasons, striking out 22 over 21 innings with a 1.29 ERA.
While there won’t be any fans in attendance, the Indians greatest weapon could be the mental aspect of homefield advantage.
It sounds strange, but in a season where the Yankees never left the East Coast, they were terrible on the road.
22-9 | Record | 11-18 |
191 | Runs For | 124 |
119 | Runs Against | 151 |
0.710 | Winning Percentage | 0.379 |
Cleveland offered a lot more consistency. They were 18-12 at home and 17-13 on the road. While their offensive numbers were comparable, they actually allowed more runs at Progressive Field (120) than on the road.
Yankees have been a much different team on the road this season.
Cole has to take Game 1 or they’re done.
— Ryan Field (@RyanFieldABC) September 28, 2020
Over the last two seasons, the Yankees are 8-6 against the Indians, but they’re 3-4 in Cleveland, getting outscored 36-32.
You shouldn’t need it but if you aren’t aware of what the Yankees’ offense can do, here’s the short version. They were first in the AL in OBP and OPS, second in Slugging Percentage and sixth in average. New York was first in runs scored and walks, and second in home runs.
The Indians’ offense has been so disappointing that even some of the cardboard cutouts left early.
— Monte the Color Man (@Monte_Colorman) September 23, 2020
New York averaged 6.2 runs in support of Cole. Bieber finished 100 spots below Cole in that category at 3.2 runs of support, which makes his 2020 even more impressive. Cleveland was 12th or worse in the AL in most offensive categories. They were ninth in OBP.
In a normal season, we’d know if Bieber was over his Yankees-induced yips. But all we can go on is recent history.
If you want a comparable, he was able to shutdown the White Sox in his last start, but they did hang three runs on him earlier in the season.
Ultimately, Bieber is better than he’s been against the Bronx Bombers, but the run support issues are too much to overcome against a pitcher as good as Cole.
The Picks: Yankees (-110), Over 6.0 (-110)
The post Yankees (Cole) vs Indians (Bieber) Game 1 Picks and Odds – Sep 29th appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
The #1 seed Tampa Bay Rays and #8 Toronto Blue Jays will start their best-of-three Wild Card Series on Tuesday at 5:00 PM ET at Tropicana Field in Tampa. The Rays are favored with Blake Snell on the mound, while the Jays counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu.
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Toronto Blue Jays (H. Ryu) | +166 | +1.5 (-125) | Over 7.5 (-101) |
Tampa Bay Rays (B. Snell) | -185 | -1.5 (+105) | Under 7.5 (-119) |
All odds as of September 28th at FanDuel.
The Rays won the regular season head-to-head 6-4. Will they have the edge in the playoff series too?
Supposed still in the midst of a rebuild, the talented-but-young Jays surprised a lot of people when they signed Ryu in the offseason. The move paid immediate dividends. Ryu finished eighth in the majors in ERA (2.69), 20th in WHIP (1.15), and was the only reliable starter in a shaky Toronto pitching staff.
While he was hit hard in his first two starts, he was mostly stellar the rest of the way.
Hyun-Jin Ryu introduces himself to Blue Jays fans (in English and French!) pic.twitter.com/xCRddSK3Sw
— Ian Hunter (@BlueJayHunter) December 27, 2019
Taking a look at Ryu’s numbers over the last two months, he allowed one or zero earned runs in eight of his final 10 starts. The Jays won eight of those games, so they should feel confident with him on the bump.
Ryu made two starts against the Rays this season, posting a 3.72 ERA while holding them to a .192 batting average.
The Rays were careful not to overwork an injury-plagued Snell this season after injuries limited him to just 107 innings in 2019.
He never pitched more than 5.2 innings and he threw 92 pitches or fewer in eight of his 11 outings. He was effective in the 50 innings he did pitch, finishing with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, though he’s still a long way from his 2018 Cy Young season (1.89 ERA, 0.97 WHIP).
Snell has had some issues with home runs, allowing eight in his last seven starts. The good news is most of those problems were on the road. He gave up eight home runs in 29 innings of work on the road compared to just two home runs in 21 innings at home.
With both of Tuesday’s starters being lefties, it’s worth noting how both teams perform against left-handed pitching. The Rays were just 9-8 against lefties this season and cost bettors 4.0 units. Meanwhile, the Jays were 12-8 against lefties, producing 4.6 units of profit.
Both teams enter the postseason with momentum. The Jays won six of their final eight games while the Rays finished their regular-season campaign going 12-4 in their final 16 contests.
While it feels like a steep price to pay here for the Rays, they are the better team. They were 13-4 against teams with a winning record while the Jays were just 15-12. The Rays are also a healthy 6-1 when the total is seven or lower (and 31-15 in their last 46) and were 9-1 playing with a day off. A number of those trends point to this being a good spot for Tampa Bay.
The Rays also have home-field advantage, which should be a key here. They were 20-9 at home this season while the Jays were 15-19 in “away” games (though their “home” games were in Buffalo).
Lay the juice with Snell and the Rays in Game 1.
Pick: Rays moneyline (-185)
The post Blue Jays (Ryu) vs Rays (Snell) Game 1 Picks and Odds – Sep 29th appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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Seeking to make an NFL pick between the New York Jets and Denver Broncos is reminiscent of that old South Park episode when the school was in the process of selecting a new mascot.
Without getting too graphic or offensive, let’s just sum it up by saying that both choices the students were left with were equally distasteful.
Which us back to the Jets and Broncos.
These two 0-3 jugger-nots clash in prime time of this week’s edition of Thursday Night Football. New York’s football Jets, home team for this debacle-in-waiting, opened as the one-point underdogs in the Broncos vs Jets odds.
That line had moved to Denver -2.5 within an hour of being posted.
Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Denver Broncos | -136 | -2.5 (-110) | O 40 (-110) |
New York Jets | +112 | +2.5 (-110) | U 40 (-110) |
Odds taken Sept. 27th at DraftKings
This is the second season in a row that both the Jets and Broncos have opened 0-3.
Country music is certainly more popular in Denver than it is in New York. Still, it’s quite possible that both hard-core Jets and Broncos fans are pulling out their old George Jones hurtin’ songs albums of late.
The Jets are currently so thin at wide receiver that any season-ticket holder capable of running precise pass patterns might be admitted into the stadium for Thursday’s game. “Whoever’s got a pulse right now, we’re ready to go,” Jets head coach Adam Gase told the New York Post.
Jets check all the boxes:
Bad coaching
Bad players
Bad injuries
Bad ownership
Just thrilled to be a fan!— Eduardo Perez (@eddieperez23) September 27, 2020
Jamison Crowder (hamstring) has missed the last two games. Breshad Perriman (ankle) and Chris Hogan (ribs) are also ailing. Denzel Mims (hamstring), Jeff Smith (abdominal) and Vyncint Smith (shoulder) are all on injured reserve.
Wonder if Don Maynard is busy on Thursday?
The Jets are also without feature back Le’Veon Bell. He’s on IR with a hamstring injury. Starting tackles George Fant and Mekhi Becton are also out. The Jets have 13 players currently on IR.
If Jeff Driskel lights up the #Jets on Thursday night and gets Gase fired this fanbase will throw him a parade.
Driskel has a real opportunity to cement himself as a hero this week.
— The Jet Press (@TheJetPress) September 27, 2020
For the Broncos, they lost quarterback Drew Lock to a shoulder injury. Jeff Driskel, who’s 1-8 as an NFL QB, got the start in Sunday’s 28-10 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Two-time 1,000-yard rusher Phillip Lindsay (toe) missed Sunday’s game. Receiver Courtland Sutton (knee) and pass rush menace Von Miller (ankle) are on IR.
Denver has gone 5-2 against the spread over its last seven games against the Jets. The total has also gone over in six of the last seven Broncos at Jets games.
Remember the excitement when the Jets went 6-2 straight up and ATS to close out the 2019 NFL season? That was fool’s gold.
Jets coach Adam Gase is under more intense scrutiny this week and it’s not just the external noise from media or fans. League sources say even w/ injuries, Jets’ brass monitoring this week closely, today vs. Colts but perhaps more telling is TNF vs. Broncos. Interesting watch.
— Chris Mortensen (@mortreport) September 27, 2020
The Jets are 0-3 both SU and ATS to launch this season. Gase is clearly on the hot seat. A home loss in prime time to the Broncos could seal his fate.
New York’s AFC franchise is 4-4 SU in its last eight home games against Denver. And the Jets are 1-3 SU overall in their last four clashes with the Broncos.
Look for the smart money on this game to continue backing the Broncos. The line will move even more toward Denver because of that.
Until Sunday’s setback in Tampa, the Broncos lost twice by a combined seven-point margin. The Jets have gone down in flames by double digits three weeks in a row.
The Denver Broncos have a South Park section today at Empower Field.
(🎥: @Broncos)pic.twitter.com/uNJ8adflkY
— Front Office Sports (@frntofficesport) September 27, 2020
The only other certainty tied to this game relates to the fact both teams opened the 2019 campaign 0-4.
That’s guaranteed not to happen in 2020.
The post Broncos Open as 1-Point Favorites vs Jets in Week 4 Thursday Night Football appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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Yet again the Los Angeles Dodgers dominated the regular season, and yet again they sit atop the 2020 World Series odds.
The Dodgers were one of just two teams to finish with 40 wins in the 2020 regular season, joining the Tampa Bay Rays. LA rounded out the regular season with a +136 run differential as their pitching and hitting dominated.
But now the real work begins. Clayton Kershaw and company have been favorites for years, but is 2020 the season they get over the hump?
Team | Regular Season Record | Odds |
---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | 43-17 | +350 |
Tampa Bay Rays | 40-20 | +700 |
New York Yankees | 33-27 | +750 |
Minnesota Twins | 36-24 | +1000 |
San Diego Padres | 37-23 | +1000 |
Oakland Athletics | 36-24 | +1000 |
Atlanta Braves | 35-25 | +1200 |
Chicago White Sox | 35-25 | +1500 |
Chicago Cubs | 34-26 | +1600 |
Cleveland Indians | 35-25 | +1700 |
Houston Astros | 29-31 | +2500 |
Cincinnati Reds | 31-29 | +2500 |
St. Louis Cardinals | 30-28 | +3300 |
Miami Marlins | 31-29 | +3600 |
Milwaukee Brewers | 29-31 | +4100 |
Toronto Blue Jays | 32-28 | +4100 |
Odds taken Sept 27 from FanDuel
While other teams have come and gone, the Dodgers have been a constant when it comes to the 2020 World Series odds. Following a disappointing NLDS exit in 2019, LA was third, behind the Astros and Yankees. Then the Mookie Betts trade happened and the Dodgers were fighting the Yankees for months.
But since August 25th, the Dodgers have been alone as the favorites as New York has fallen behind. So can they make good on all of that promise this year?
The Dodgers are healthy and dangerous entering the postseason. Mookie Betts turned in a dynamic season in his first year on the West Coast, and while Cody Bellinger’s triple slash numbers weren’t up to his standards, his bulk stats were still good.
43-17 is the regular season record. Congratulations, @dodgers. What a pleasure to cover you this year. The #dodgers are the only team this year to never be shut out offensively.
— Alanna Rizzo (@alannarizzo) September 27, 2020
LA only totaled a 31% quality start percentage, good for 11th in the league. A big reason for that is the fact that they only averaged 4.7 innings per start. While that may not seem impressive, it could indicate that the Dodgers were simply managing their innings only to unleash everyone in October.
While both have to make it through their respective brackets, it feels like we’re on a Braves/Dodgers collision course in the National League.
Your National League home run leader 🐻#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/5vfN8FxaKI
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 27, 2020
Atlanta finished first in RBI, On-Base Percentage, Slugging Percentage and OPS, and second in home runs and average. If there’s a reason they don’t meet up with the Dodgers in the NLCS, it’ll be because of their pitching. The Braves were 13th in ERA, allowing the 13th-most hits and 16th-most earned runs.
They also had the 14th-highest WHIP and 12th-worst opponent’s average.
If you love consistency, then the Tampa Bay Rays may be the steadiest team on the AL side. The Rays consistently got on base, drawing the second-most walks and scoring the sixth-most runs in the AL. They also logged the third-lowest ERA and WHIP, and fifth-lowest opponent’s batting average.
For the first time since 2010, your Tampa Bay Rays are AL East Champions! pic.twitter.com/n2YagBWBZ9
— Tampa Bay Rays – z (@RaysBaseball) September 24, 2020
Meanwhile in the Central, both the Indians and White Sox are intriguing teams. Cleveland starters logged the highest Quality Start percentage (63%) and Average Game Score (59). Their bullpen also allowed just 26% of inherited runners to score.
#WhiteSox become 1st team in MLB history to finish unbeaten in a season against a left handed starter. 14-0.
— Ryan McGuffey (@RyanMcGuffey) September 27, 2020
The White Sox meanwhile, are just a streaky team. Their pitching staff finished slightly behind the Indians’ starters and relievers. They’ve got a heavy-hitting offense, but a seven-game winning streak in August and a 10-1 run in early September are a big reason why they’ll be playing in October.
While the Padres could be tantalizing as they share a bracket with LA, the Dodgers just look too deep. With no crossover between divisions this year it’s hard to tell who stacks up well with who, but the Dodgers and Braves should be able to handle their respective match-ups.
The AL is messier. Tampa is a safer pick, while the White Sox could pay off big or flame out early.
From start to finish though, it’s tough to overlook LA.
The Pick: LA Dodgers (+350)
The post World Series Odds Heading Into MLB Playoffs See Dodgers Favored at +350 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.